Basis Radar

Tennessee — Capital events & subsidy flows by year

Event-dated aggregates from the benchmark-validated series (year-15 counts validated within ~3% of Novogradac; Section 8 stock within 1% of NLIHC). Properties that exited the LIHTC program are excluded from LIHTC waves. National view →

LIHTC year-15 wave

In-program properties only; year 15 is the equity-exit decision point.

View as table
YearLow-Income UnitsCount
2002 106 3
2003 89 2
2004 214 7
2005 450 9
2006 420 5
2007 358 12
2008 440 6
2009 1,176 13
2010 1,419 16
2011 1,235 16
2012 959 10
2013 1,539 18
2014 1,197 18
2015 1,198 20
2016 2,410 26
2017 2,709 31
2018 2,046 23
2019 2,579 32
2020 3,283 31
2021 3,863 37
2022 2,401 27
2023 2,941 27
2024 1,166 13
2025 3,168 44
2026 1,816 25
2027 2,170 30
2028 771 14
2029 1,880 23
2030 3,279 41
2031 2,696 21
2032 2,375 22
2033 2,404 21
2034 3,849 44
2035 2,646 23
2036 2,740 28
2037 1,086 12
2038 1,649 12
2039 1,349 9

Extended-use endings

Dates use the 30-year federal floor (or filed longer periods) — near-term totals overstate reality until state-reported periods are layered in; the wave shape is directionally sound.

View as table
YearLow-Income UnitsCount
2017 106 3
2018 89 2
2019 214 7
2020 450 9
2021 420 5
2022 358 12
2023 440 6
2024 1,176 13
2025 1,419 16
2026 1,235 16
2027 959 10
2028 1,539 18
2029 1,197 18
2030 1,198 20
2031 2,410 26
2032 2,709 31
2033 2,046 23
2034 2,579 32
2035 3,283 31
2036 3,863 37
2037 2,401 27
2038 2,941 27
2039 1,166 13
2040 3,168 44
2041 1,816 25
2042 2,170 30
2043 771 14
2044 1,880 23
2045 3,279 41

HAP contract expirations

Active project-based Section 8 family contracts, by full-term expiration year.

View as table
YearAssisted UnitsCount
2026 562 35
2027 821 48
2028 1,698 46
2029 1,705 53
2030 1,462 29
2031 1,423 29
2032 1,652 27
2033 1,748 33
2034 1,316 30
2035 1,292 24
2036 1,496 16
2037 5,578 31
2038 4,666 35
2039 2,127 19
2040 1,800 16
2041 2,342 23
2042 3,211 26
2043 2,612 24
2044 4,090 41
2045 4,756 37

Published debt maturities

FHA-insured and USDA loans only — conventional, bond, and agency debt is not on public record.

View as table
YearRemaining PrincipalCount
2025 2
2027 $2.9M 1
2028 4
2029 7
2030 $127,355 18
2031 $693,636 14
2032 $1.2M 12
2033 $1.6M 22
2034 $637,843 15
2035 $1.4M 18
2036 $843,272 17
2037 $2.4M 16
2038 17
2039 $22.7M 8
2040 $2.6M 19
2041 $2M 7
2042 $1.1M 15
2043 $2.2M 10
2044 7
2045 $5.7M 34

HOME/CDBG dollars landed

By IDIS completion year; HOME 5+ unit activities and CDBG activities matched to tracked properties — a floor, not a census.

View as table
YearActivity DollarsCount
2000 $1.7M 9
2001 $3.7M 21
2002 $1.9M 8
2003 $2.3M 9
2004 $4.7M 9
2005 $2.8M 10
2006 $3.4M 14
2007 $3M 16
2008 $2.3M 10
2009 $2M 8
2010 $7.2M 13
2011 $4.4M 11
2012 $41.8M 35
2013 $3.3M 7
2014 $1.8M 5
2015 $3M 12
2016 $1.4M 2
2017 $2.5M 6
2018 $4.9M 7
2019 $3.8M 4
2020 $1M 3
2021 $4.1M 8
2022 $3.1M 6
2023 $199,888 1
2024 $6.8M 5
2025 $3.7M 6
2026 $6.1M 4

Methodology and reconciliation against published figures: see the glossary. Filter, sort, and drill into properties in the application.