Basis Radar

New York — Capital events & subsidy flows by year

Event-dated aggregates from the benchmark-validated series (year-15 counts validated within ~3% of Novogradac; Section 8 stock within 1% of NLIHC). Properties that exited the LIHTC program are excluded from LIHTC waves. National view →

LIHTC year-15 wave

In-program properties only; year 15 is the equity-exit decision point.

View as table
YearLow-Income UnitsCount
2003 396 9
2004 889 15
2005 2,191 54
2006 2,529 63
2007 2,427 64
2008 3,267 78
2009 4,728 103
2010 3,271 78
2011 4,563 112
2012 4,997 138
2013 4,000 133
2014 4,704 140
2015 4,806 134
2016 5,592 140
2017 5,343 127
2018 5,546 141
2019 7,078 163
2020 9,345 121
2021 11,546 178
2022 11,709 123
2023 6,570 122
2024 13,641 150
2025 24,441 131
2026 16,852 140
2027 7,598 92
2028 9,108 87
2029 9,938 88
2030 10,749 105
2031 8,412 89
2032 7,479 85
2033 10,797 85
2034 9,776 89
2035 12,448 105
2036 10,766 84
2037 8,133 61
2038 827 15

Extended-use endings

Dates use the 30-year federal floor (or filed longer periods) — near-term totals overstate reality until state-reported periods are layered in; the wave shape is directionally sound.

View as table
YearLow-Income UnitsCount
2018 396 9
2019 889 15
2020 2,191 54
2021 2,529 63
2022 2,427 64
2023 3,267 78
2024 4,728 103
2025 3,271 78
2026 4,563 112
2027 4,997 138
2028 4,000 133
2029 4,704 140
2030 4,806 134
2031 5,592 140
2032 5,343 127
2033 5,546 141
2034 7,078 163
2035 9,345 121
2036 11,546 178
2037 11,709 123
2038 6,570 122
2039 13,641 150
2040 24,441 131
2041 16,852 140
2042 7,598 92
2043 9,108 87
2044 9,938 88
2045 10,749 105

HAP contract expirations

Active project-based Section 8 family contracts, by full-term expiration year.

View as table
YearAssisted UnitsCount
2026 3,346 116
2027 3,795 73
2028 7,913 124
2029 10,447 141
2030 7,032 96
2031 4,877 56
2032 6,694 62
2033 5,770 64
2034 5,807 73
2035 7,047 70
2036 6,359 56
2037 7,795 41
2038 3,935 39
2039 5,015 47
2040 3,584 28
2041 7,543 40
2042 4,462 31
2043 6,120 51
2044 5,694 56
2045 8,375 57

Published debt maturities

FHA-insured and USDA loans only — conventional, bond, and agency debt is not on public record.

View as table
YearRemaining PrincipalCount
2026 1
2027 1
2028 18
2029 $178,123 18
2030 $766,619 17
2031 $5.5M 19
2032 $1.9M 11
2033 $1.5M 15
2034 $18.1M 21
2035 $3.7M 23
2036 $2M 29
2037 $1.4M 25
2038 24
2039 $489,191 27
2040 $14.6M 34
2041 $25.5M 24
2042 $9.6M 24
2043 $26.7M 30
2044 $64.2M 44
2045 $14.5M 24

HOME/CDBG dollars landed

By IDIS completion year; HOME 5+ unit activities and CDBG activities matched to tracked properties — a floor, not a census.

View as table
YearActivity DollarsCount
2000 $15.5M 24
2001 $58.7M 89
2002 $33.3M 54
2003 $55.8M 87
2004 $85.8M 95
2005 $60.9M 79
2006 $302.1M 145
2007 $127.8M 74
2008 $104.4M 72
2009 $146.3M 69
2010 $121.2M 71
2011 $221.6M 100
2012 $334.6M 114
2013 $203.4M 77
2014 $123.4M 63
2015 $110M 53
2016 $166.8M 56
2017 $141.8M 60
2018 $74.8M 42
2019 $29.1M 28
2020 $22.2M 14
2021 $19.4M 28
2022 $83.6M 36
2023 $48M 20
2024 $61M 33
2025 $58M 35
2026 $20.5M 13

Methodology and reconciliation against published figures: see the glossary. Filter, sort, and drill into properties in the application.