Basis Radar

North Carolina — Capital events & subsidy flows by year

Event-dated aggregates from the benchmark-validated series (year-15 counts validated within ~3% of Novogradac; Section 8 stock within 1% of NLIHC). Properties that exited the LIHTC program are excluded from LIHTC waves. National view →

LIHTC year-15 wave

In-program properties only; year 15 is the equity-exit decision point.

View as table
YearLow-Income UnitsCount
2001 24 1
2002 126 3
2003 128 2
2004 259 5
2005 348 6
2006 518 18
2007 545 19
2008 785 38
2009 964 35
2010 1,901 31
2011 2,086 37
2012 1,765 34
2013 1,270 27
2014 3,134 54
2015 2,418 41
2016 2,286 40
2017 2,631 49
2018 2,531 49
2019 2,683 51
2020 2,560 49
2021 2,771 41
2022 2,474 50
2023 1,143 25
2024 2,883 58
2025 3,444 53
2026 2,446 43
2027 2,248 34
2028 2,358 39
2029 2,940 45
2030 3,047 39
2031 3,010 39
2032 1,222 17
2033 2,165 25
2034 2,416 34
2035 2,526 33
2036 2,676 28
2037 2,274 26
2038 3,414 43
2039 1,523 18

Extended-use endings

Dates use the 30-year federal floor (or filed longer periods) — near-term totals overstate reality until state-reported periods are layered in; the wave shape is directionally sound.

View as table
YearLow-Income UnitsCount
2016 24 1
2017 126 3
2018 128 2
2019 259 5
2020 348 6
2021 518 18
2022 545 19
2023 785 38
2024 964 35
2025 1,901 31
2026 2,086 37
2027 1,765 34
2028 1,270 27
2029 3,134 54
2030 2,418 41
2031 2,286 40
2032 2,631 49
2033 2,531 49
2034 2,683 51
2035 2,560 49
2036 2,771 41
2037 2,474 50
2038 1,143 25
2039 2,883 58
2040 3,444 53
2041 2,446 43
2042 2,248 34
2043 2,358 39
2044 2,940 45
2045 3,047 39

HAP contract expirations

Active project-based Section 8 family contracts, by full-term expiration year.

View as table
YearAssisted UnitsCount
2026 1,203 106
2027 1,439 125
2028 2,155 99
2029 1,869 86
2030 987 68
2031 767 22
2032 1,384 32
2033 1,428 30
2034 1,724 33
2035 1,786 29
2036 1,464 23
2037 1,487 20
2038 1,000 12
2039 1,309 19
2040 2,165 38
2041 2,048 37
2042 1,255 18
2043 2,081 29
2044 3,115 41
2045 1,368 31

Published debt maturities

FHA-insured and USDA loans only — conventional, bond, and agency debt is not on public record.

View as table
YearRemaining PrincipalCount
2026 — 2
2027 $414,159 2
2028 — 12
2029 — 11
2030 $371,743 14
2031 — 15
2032 $111,887 27
2033 $1.7M 31
2034 $1.2M 38
2035 $195,430 24
2036 $2.6M 44
2037 $2.3M 29
2038 $6M 35
2039 $3.3M 49
2040 $5.9M 45
2041 $15.9M 41
2042 $18.1M 41
2043 $5.2M 32
2044 $2.7M 29
2045 $31.9M 22

HOME/CDBG dollars landed

By IDIS completion year; HOME 5+ unit activities and CDBG activities matched to tracked properties — a floor, not a census.

View as table
YearActivity DollarsCount
2000 $1.1M 4
2001 $5.8M 10
2002 $17M 26
2003 $5.8M 8
2004 $4.7M 17
2005 $5.5M 15
2006 $10.3M 27
2007 $16.4M 28
2008 $10.7M 20
2009 $10.3M 19
2010 $10M 21
2011 $7.7M 18
2012 $62.9M 35
2013 $8.2M 19
2014 $10.4M 22
2015 $6.9M 15
2016 $16.3M 28
2017 $10.1M 17
2018 $9.3M 14
2019 $6.5M 15
2020 $4.6M 9
2021 $11.9M 17
2022 $10.4M 12
2023 $3.2M 6
2024 $11.5M 9
2025 $10.5M 14
2026 $2.4M 4

Methodology and reconciliation against published figures: see the glossary. Filter, sort, and drill into properties in the application.