Basis Radar

California — Capital events & subsidy flows by year

Event-dated aggregates from the benchmark-validated series (year-15 counts validated within ~3% of Novogradac; Section 8 stock within 1% of NLIHC). Properties that exited the LIHTC program are excluded from LIHTC waves. National view →

LIHTC year-15 wave

In-program properties only; year 15 is the equity-exit decision point.

View as table
YearLow-Income UnitsCount
2001 490 16
2002 1,451 37
2003 1,673 39
2004 2,179 63
2005 1,729 33
2006 2,373 58
2007 3,517 66
2008 5,382 87
2009 6,497 92
2010 6,730 94
2011 6,536 93
2012 9,513 111
2013 16,160 167
2014 17,006 167
2015 12,712 144
2016 11,511 124
2017 11,500 141
2018 14,752 157
2019 14,384 165
2020 16,205 176
2021 16,863 196
2022 16,847 208
2023 12,390 148
2024 9,782 115
2025 12,081 178
2026 12,925 174
2027 14,569 211
2028 21,112 254
2029 12,301 171
2030 11,414 159
2031 7,311 81
2032 9,069 112
2033 12,022 153
2034 11,921 145
2035 12,657 157
2036 12,521 155
2037 17,072 200
2038 12,139 153
2039 1,506 17

Extended-use endings

Dates use the 30-year federal floor (or filed longer periods) — near-term totals overstate reality until state-reported periods are layered in; the wave shape is directionally sound.

View as table
YearLow-Income UnitsCount
2016 490 16
2017 1,451 37
2018 1,673 39
2019 2,179 63
2020 1,729 33
2021 2,373 58
2022 3,517 66
2023 5,382 87
2024 6,497 92
2025 6,730 94
2026 6,536 93
2027 9,513 111
2028 16,160 167
2029 17,006 167
2030 12,712 144
2031 11,511 124
2032 11,500 141
2033 14,752 157
2034 14,384 165
2035 16,205 176
2036 16,863 196
2037 16,847 208
2038 12,390 148
2039 9,782 115
2040 12,081 178
2041 12,925 174
2042 14,569 211
2043 21,112 254
2044 12,301 171
2045 11,414 159

HAP contract expirations

Active project-based Section 8 family contracts, by full-term expiration year.

View as table
YearAssisted UnitsCount
2026 4,642 211
2027 5,531 158
2028 7,970 140
2029 10,263 160
2030 6,507 98
2031 6,049 63
2032 2,628 49
2033 7,418 106
2034 5,465 71
2035 5,503 73
2036 5,499 75
2037 5,279 69
2038 6,568 77
2039 4,965 65
2040 5,054 69
2041 5,154 77
2042 3,557 46
2043 6,469 81
2044 6,850 81
2045 4,805 52

Published debt maturities

FHA-insured and USDA loans only — conventional, bond, and agency debt is not on public record.

View as table
YearRemaining PrincipalCount
2024 — 2
2025 — 1
2026 $29M 8
2027 $496,296 2
2028 $14.6M 9
2029 $8.1M 8
2030 $7M 9
2031 $1.8M 5
2032 $621,820 12
2033 $759,997 12
2034 $9.7M 31
2035 $12.2M 35
2036 $18.4M 40
2037 $27M 45
2038 $24.4M 36
2039 $34.2M 29
2040 $12.9M 43
2041 $137.9M 55
2042 $147.2M 42
2043 $93.8M 43
2044 $80M 32
2045 $90.2M 41

HOME/CDBG dollars landed

By IDIS completion year; HOME 5+ unit activities and CDBG activities matched to tracked properties — a floor, not a census.

View as table
YearActivity DollarsCount
2000 $45.5M 123
2001 $61.3M 130
2002 $61.6M 134
2003 $66.8M 115
2004 $53.9M 120
2005 $112.5M 157
2006 $112.6M 145
2007 $80.7M 83
2008 $219.3M 187
2009 $207.4M 126
2010 $167.6M 136
2011 $149.3M 107
2012 $302.6M 192
2013 $388.8M 136
2014 $238.5M 121
2015 $132.2M 89
2016 $112.9M 84
2017 $138.6M 81
2018 $110.4M 65
2019 $144.2M 202
2020 $155.8M 67
2021 $62.8M 39
2022 $104.7M 54
2023 $93.5M 52
2024 $132.3M 62
2025 $133.9M 76
2026 $58.6M 26

Methodology and reconciliation against published figures: see the glossary. Filter, sort, and drill into properties in the application.